This past presidential election was the first where Americans could legally bet on the outcome. That event proved prediction markets to be a source of truth.
This episode offers two looks at prediction markets. In the first half of the show, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour joins Ricky Mulvey to discuss:
- What he learned about Kalshi from this past election.
- The difference between an events contract and gambling.
- How prediction markets could disrupt sports betting.
Then, New York Magazine Features writer, Jen Wieczner, joins Mary Long to discuss her reporting on the billion-dollar betting platform Polymarket, and its legal challenges in the United States.
Read Wieczner’s piece on Polymarket here: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/is-polymarket-legal-politics-betting-shayne-coplan.html
Company discussed: HOOD
Hosts: Mary Long, Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Tarek Mansour, Jen Wieczner
Engineers: Rick Engdahl, Dan Boyd
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47:05
Google Banks Ads, Chipotle Eyes Mexico
Alphabet’s ad business keeps putting up huge numbers, but a DOJ breakup, generative AI threats, and potential macro slowdown loom.
(00:21) Jason Moser and Asit Sharma discuss:
- Alphabet’s resilient ad business, and what parts of the company might be most interesting if the break-up happens.
- Tesla’s rough quarter, and why the Model Y release is a key moment for the company’s auto thesis.
- Chipotle’s burrito slowdown, how ServiceNow’s government contracts are holding up, and the latest with Intuitive Surgical.
(19:11) Malcolm Ethridge comes back on the show to talk big tech and his favorite recession-proof stocks.
(34:48) Asit and Jason break down two stocks on their radar: Nasdaq and Adobe.
Stocks discussed: GOOG, GOOGL, TSLA, NOW, ISRG, ACN, NFLX, SPOT, NDAQ, ADBE.
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Jason Moser, Asit Sharma, Malcolm Ethridge
Engineers: Dan Boyd
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40:01
Why is Berkshire Hathaway Hoarding Cash?
Warren Buffett’s conglomerate has more cash on the books than any company in history.
(00:21) Matt Argersinger and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- What home sales data says about the economy.
- A traffic slowdown at Chipotle, and the restaurant chain’s strong unit economics.
- The reasons why Warren Buffett could be sitting on record cash.
Then, (17:06) Mary Long and Asit Sharma continue their conversation about AMD, and discuss the impact of tariffs and export controls on the chip designer.
Companies discussed: DHI, CMG, BRK.A, BRK.B, AMD
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Matt Argersinger, Mary Long, Asit Sharma
Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl
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27:08
Tesla’s “Moment of Truth”
Tesla’s net income decreased by 71% compared to a year ago. But Wall Street doesn’t seem to mind.
(00:21) Sanmeet Deo and Mary Long discuss:
- Poor results from Tesla’s automotive segment.
- Whether Musk’s return can revive the company.
- Half marathons, and the future of humanoids.
Then, (18:20), Asit Sharma joins Mary for a look at AMD and how the chip company is different from its biggest competitor.
Companies mentioned: TSLA, AMD, NVDA
Host: Mary Long
Guests: Sanmeet Deo, Asit Sharma
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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35:06
Google Faces a Potential Breakup
The Department of Justice is asking Alphabet to sell Chrome.
(00:21) Jason Moser and Ricky Mulvey discuss:
- Why Apple could lose an “easy $20 billion” from Alphabet’s break-up.
- General Motor’s big bet on electric vehicles.
- Bill Ackman’s hedge fund, Pershing Square, buying a 20% stake in Hertz.
Then, (16:52) Robert Brokamp answers listener questions about tariffs, capital accumulation plans, and 401(k)s.
Companies mentioned: GOOG, GOOGL, AAPL, GM, TSLA, HTZ
Businessweek feature on GM: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-04-14/inside-gm-mary-barra-s-35-billion-bet-on-electric-cars
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guests: Jason Moser, Robert Brokamp
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Dan Boyd
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Motley Fool Money is a daily podcast for stock investors.
Weekday episodes offer a long-term perspective on business news with The Motley Fool's investment analysts. Weekend shows are a mix of investing classes and longer-form interviews.
The show is hosted by Dylan Lewis, Ricky Mulvey, and Mary Long.
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