Working out Basic Fit's Value with Buckley Capital's Zack Buckley $BFIT
In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Zack Buckley of Buckley Capital Partners to discuss Basic-Fit, Europe’s largest gym chain. Zack shares why the market has been overly pessimistic on the name, despite long-term growth potential. They break down what went wrong post-2020, unit economics, and whether Basic-Fit can finally deliver on expectations. Zack also outlines the opportunity in France’s 24/7 gym shift, the underappreciated moat in Basic-Fit's cluster strategy, and why he sees the stock potentially tripling. It's a conversation packed with deep due diligence, strategic insights, and a firm outlook on value creation.______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Podcast and guest introduction[00:02:41] Basic Fit’s business overview[00:03:15] Why market misjudges Basic Fit[00:04:40] COVID’s impact on gym cohorts[00:07:48] Zack’s in-person gym visits[00:10:12] Unit economics explained[00:14:00] Capex and depreciation debate[00:15:36] Member per store growth importance[00:16:32] 24/7 France investment case[00:18:38] Staffless gym impact analysis[00:20:22] Basic Fit’s sustainable moat[00:22:43] Differences with Dental Corp[00:24:38] Low-cost model’s retail parallel[00:28:13] Franchising potential is minimal[00:31:50] Marketing spend not a concern[00:34:38] Path to $90 price target[00:36:51] Why past forecasts failed[00:38:26] Thoughts on management team[00:43:39] Valuing via replacement cost[00:46:47] Risk of future underperformance[00:48:48] European gym vs. U.S. context[00:50:25] Demand across European markets[00:53:50] Competitor threats and strategy[00:56:43] Cautious growth after 2021 boomLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
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57:32
Unlocking Jardine Matheson's holdco value with Cayucos Capital's Dom St George
In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Dom St. George from Cayucos Capital about Jardine Matheson, a complex, centuries-old conglomerate currently trading at a discount to its net asset value. Dom shares insights from over a decade of following the company, breaking down its historic roots, complicated structure, and the recent strategic overhaul under fifth-generation leadership. The conversation digs into the potential implications of new private equity hires, the value locked in Hong Kong Land and Mandarin Oriental, and whether simplification or empire-building lies ahead. Tune in for a discussion on the nuances of holdco investing and Asia’s corporate evolution.____________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Andrew introduces Jardine Matheson[00:02:45] Dom joins and outlines background[00:03:30] Jardine’s history in opium trade[00:06:00] Creation of Hong Kong background[00:07:30] Cross-holdings and structure issues[00:09:00] Recent disposals and simplification steps[00:10:24] Current NAV discount and relevance[00:11:33] Major business segments explained[00:13:00] Hong Kong Land valuation dynamics[00:14:06] Debating real estate cap rate fairness[00:16:36] Hiring private equity insiders[00:18:12] Risks of reinvestment vs. wind-down[00:20:46] Goal to raise AUM at Hong Kong Land[00:22:52] Market discounts family holdcos[00:24:56] Sell-mode vs. buy-mode question[00:26:41] Pattern of mistimed investments[00:27:05] Focus on five-year shareholder returns[00:29:00] Mandarin Oriental asset repositioning[00:30:55] Mandarin’s trophy brand potential[00:32:00] Selling HK hotel land to Alibaba[00:33:48] Lack of share buybacks questioned[00:34:52] 1947 Trust and executive incentives[00:36:50] Potential misalignment in trust structure[00:38:23] Why Jardine vs. other holdcos?[00:39:43] Astra International’s complexity[00:41:48] Subsidiaries: elevators, Pizza Hut, KFC[00:42:47] Final thoughts and episode wrap-upLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
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John Malone's Memoirs: Born to be Wired book club
In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker is joined by Byrne Hobart from The Diff for the monthly book club. They discuss Born to Be Wired, the newly released memoir of John Malone. The conversation explores Malone’s strategic mastery, his historical and modern media investments, thoughts on taxation, and media regulation. Andrew and Byrne also reflect on Liberty’s recent underperformance, Malone’s approach to succession, and the evolving media landscape. They close with a playful debate on the future of CNN, potential Saudi buyouts, and what book to read next. Listeners interested in media, cable, and investing will enjoy this deep exploration of Malone's career and legacy._______________________________________________________[00:00:00] Intro to book and guest[00:02:52] Malone fit for 1980s market[00:04:49] AT&T’s dividend inefficiency analysis[00:08:49] Malone’s era-optimized strategies explained[00:13:17] Liberty Media’s big split strategy[00:16:32] Malone’s regulation views criticized[00:22:02] C-SPAN’s cable subsidization dynamics[00:24:36] Cable Labs and hostile deals[00:28:01] Media write-offs and strategic bidding[00:34:03] Media titan nostalgia and shifts[00:37:37] Infinite channels end titan era[00:39:04] Greg Maffei’s underwhelming portrayal[00:44:13] AI and regulatory survival urgency[00:45:24] Formula One bullishness and strategy[00:50:13] Liberty Global optimism despite history[00:54:31] Timeless themes in cable media[00:56:18] CNN objectivity vs market demand[01:00:17] Halloween book club next picks[01:02:15] Disclaimer and episode wrap-upLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.comSee our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
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1:02:16
Firebird Management's Steve Gorelik's Molina Healthcare Bull Thesis $MOH
In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Steve Gorelik from Firebird Management for a deep dive into Molina Healthcare (ticker: MOH). Together, they explore the sharp drop in Molina's stock despite its long-standing compounder reputation. Steve outlines how Molina operates as a low-cost Medicaid-focused managed care organization, making it uniquely resilient amid rising medical costs and regulatory challenges. They discuss Molina’s competitive advantages, risks tied to healthcare policy, redetermination effects, and its strategic M&A playbook. Tune in to understand why Steve believes Molina remains undervalued and poised to outperform its peers—even as the broader Medicaid sector stumbles.___________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Intro and sponsor mention[00:02:25] What is Molina Healthcare?[00:05:31] Medicaid model and revenue growth[00:06:25] Molina stock chart and July crash[00:07:13] Industry-wide margin compression[00:11:28] Why Steve sees alpha in Molina[00:13:29] ROE vs. cost structure explained[00:15:04] Admin efficiency as competitive edge[00:17:04] Molina’s playbook and cost culture[00:20:16] Medicaid redetermination impact[00:24:07] Market share gains amid member losses[00:26:26] What's driving cost inflation now[00:28:44] Will premiums rise to match costs?[00:30:26] Regulatory risks in Medicaid[00:32:19] Medicaid vs. private cost efficiency[00:33:54] Denials, approvals, and outcomes[00:37:50] Molina’s denials as cost control[00:40:42] Tender process and doctor networks[00:41:43] What keeps Steve up at night[00:44:41] Acquisitions: model and pipeline[00:47:18] M&A parallels to John Malone[00:48:19] CEO incentives and share ownership[00:50:48] Share buybacks and capital returns[00:51:19] Could Molina be acquired?[00:52:57] Long-term compounding vs. exit[00:53:28] Scooby-Doo investing explained[00:54:23] Wrapping up the conversationLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
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September 2025 Random Ramblings
In this monthly solo episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker tackles four wide-ranging themes: Trump’s suggestion to change SEC reporting from quarterly to semi-annual filings, Elon Musk’s astonishing $1B open market Tesla buy, the potential for alpha from structural market changes, and the fine line between improvement and mindless investing practice. Andrew also shares candid thoughts on investor judgment and the current explosion of meme stocks. Tune in for an honest and reflective breakdown of how macro shifts and investor behavior may be shaping opportunities—and challenges—in today’s market.__________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Intro and episode overview[00:01:00] Trump SEC reporting proposal[00:07:00] Structural market change implications[00:12:00] Earnings and options volatility[00:18:00] Impact on quant/pot shop models[00:21:00] Tesla insider buying analysis[00:27:00] Elon vs. other big buys[00:30:00] Historical outcomes of big buys[00:33:00] Thoughts on self improvement[00:35:00] Judging other investors’ picks[00:37:00] Wrapping up and reflectionsLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
Yet Another Value Podcast is a new podcast from Andrew Walker, the founder of yetanothervalueblog.com/. We interview top investors and dive deep into stocks and companies they are currently working on and investing in. While nothing on this channel is investing advice and everyone should do their own diligence, our goal is to frequently feature edgy and actionable value and/or event driven ideas.
Please see our legal and disclaimer at: https://yetanothervalueblog.substack.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer
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