Reuters Morning Bid

As Memorial Day marks the unofficial start of summer, energy markets face a potential crunch point in June if the Strait of Hormuz blockage remains unresolved and fuel inventories keep falling. Meanwhile, U.S. PCE inflation data due this week is expected to show headline inflation moving above the Fed's current policy rate.

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

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Nvidia announced an $80 billion stock buyback and forecast a trillion dollars in AI chip sales — and markets shrugged. SpaceX filed for what could be the biggest IPO in history, promising Mars colonies and orbital data centers. Plus, bond markets finally price in the Iran war's inflation hit, with one analyst telling Reuters that U.S. Treasury yields now feel "unanchored."

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

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*This episode was updated to remove incorrect normal Strait of Hormuz traffic figures*

Oil traders are pushing back against the NACHO trade - "Not Any Chance Hormuz Opens" - sending Brent crude down around 6% on the week as positive signals emerge from U.S.-Iran talks. But differences over Iran’s uranium stockpiles and a toll on the Strait of Hormuz as well as President Trump's threat to resume bombing hangs over negotiations. Plus, Kevin Warsh is officially sworn in as Federal Reserve chair at the White House today.

Today’s recommended read: Can Wall Street boom soothe workers' pain?, Jamie McGeever

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

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Nvidia nearly doubled its earnings, forecast $91 billion in revenue above consensus, raised its dividend and announced an $80 billion buyback - and its shares still fell about 1%. SpaceX filed for its IPO with OpenAI is reportedly next. Plus, Reuters/Ipsos polling finds Republican voters evenly split on Trump's cost-of-living record, a notable marker heading into the midterms.

Today’s recommended read: 'True cost of living' could be Trump's biggest headache, Mike Dolan

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices.

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Nvidia's blockbuster earnings are widely anticipated, but with the stock already up around 20% this year and the bar set sky-high, markets are bracing for volatility either way. All of this plays out against a backdrop of U.S. inflation potentially heading above 4%, rising bond yields, and a looming potential strike at Samsung that raises fresh questions about labor's place in the AI economy.

Today’s recommended read: Bond yields may finally be baking in an AI world, Mike Dolan

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices.

You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices